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A the time of this piece being written,AIADMK,led by Jayalalithaa, is heading for a 3/4 majority in the recently concluded polls for which counting is still on.
AIAMK is leading in 160 seats.
That the AIADMK shall win was expected ,but not on this scale independently.
DMDK of Vijaykanth has helped to ward off DMK in the traditional stronghold of DMK in North Tamil Nadu;Western Tamil Nadu has been brought into fold by splitting the Community based Kongu Peravai etc.
But the DMK could not fare well in southern parts ,despite Azhzgiri;s muscle and money power is astonishing.
It seems that the people have been waiting to pounce on the DMK.
As this is being written,except Karunanidhi, his son Stalin,Deputy Chief Minister, and Durai Murugan, all other Ministers seem to heading for a rout.
Vijaykanth has definitely ,with his 8% vote bank, swung the total votes in favor of the AIADMK.
However AIADMKhas done extremely well on its own where Vijaykanth did not split anti-DMK voted.
Scoring 25 seats out of 41 seats contested in four years can not be wished away,thanks to AIADMK alliance.
With what cheek did Congress demanded 63 seats from DMK,even to the point of wrecking alliance, whn they have landed with 8 seats?
A percentage of about 7-8 %of total votes polled from its traditional 20%
Reasons for DMK rout is not far to seek.
Institutionalization Family Corruption.
Illegal sand quarrying.
Keeping mum on Srilankan Tamil issue.
Of course 2G scam.
The Election Commission.
The fal out will be the Karunanidhi family feuds will become more acrimonious and public.
KaniMozhi‘s fate will be in Congress’s hands.
Congress will be pleased that it had got rid of the 2G monkey off its back.
It can breathe easy at the Center , with out Karuninidhi’s Blackmail.
Pronob Mukherjee hinted at this in his immediate reaction to results in Tamil Nadu by saying ‘this is expected’-possibly articulating that this is the best way to get away from DMK-but the price is too heavy.
As to Congress , time it realized that it pays to heed to Rahul Gandhi and stand the Elections alone in Tamil Nadu-may be they would get less seats than what they used to get traditionally, but would never have below 8 seats any way and got rid of the old and useless paper leaders of Congress in Tamil Nadu and infuse young blood.
But it is in denial mode, excepting Mani Shankar Aiyar.
For others, like Kaarthi Chidambarm, son of P.Chidambaram,Corruption is a non issue and the fact that party cadres did not want DMK alliance .
Ghulam Nabi Azad‘s observation is here below.
Congress today attributed the DMK-led alliance’s rout in Tamil Nadu to anti-incumbency and explained away by saying it was the turn of the Opposition AIADMK to come to power. Health
Minister and party leader Ghulam Nabi Azad said the “anti-incumbency factor” played a major role in the defeat of the DMK-Congress combine in Tamil Nadu.
“In states like Tamil Nadu, Punjab and Kerala hardly any party has won successive terms. There is always a change in the government. This time there is a change,” he told TV channels.
“Anti-incumbency factor played a major role. Last time, it was the turn of the DMK to win and this time if one goes by that convention it was AIADMK’s turn,” he said.